Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.027119 3.523611 4.088434 4.781166 5.611411 6.578838 7.797797
2025-02-09 2.347666 3.003277 3.834769 4.978527 6.529392 8.585657 11.563005
2025-02-16 1.960917 2.668589 3.633200 5.067698 7.187505 10.270318 15.216448
2025-02-23 1.712551 2.448031 3.510223 5.193717 7.866033 12.069670 19.443851
2025-03-02 1.485981 2.210517 3.307499 5.140381 8.230491 13.429302 23.289870
2025-03-09 1.336774 2.060912 3.205038 5.211216 8.787708 15.197774 28.301395
2025-03-16 1.192540 1.895637 3.048031 5.155419 9.101827 16.586363 32.965548
2025-03-23 1.077566 1.761115 2.919632 5.121929 9.439741 18.078003 38.260909
2025-03-30 0.969366 1.623462 2.765375 5.012461 9.604108 19.248840 43.192147
2025-04-06 0.904188 1.552277 2.718337 5.095896 10.167145 21.378196 51.068574
2025-04-13 0.820623 1.437970 2.576886 4.969195 10.260333 22.479994 56.707761
2025-04-20 0.783475 1.404790 2.583826 5.145471 11.051512 25.399611 68.328569
2025-04-27 0.733429 1.351341 2.563969 5.307681 11.960848 29.162828 85.063078
2025-05-04 0.689939 1.307508 2.562540 5.525863 13.107700 34.074545 108.708880
2025-05-11 0.641652 1.246659 2.514946 5.626451 13.985353 38.581024 133.986202
2025-05-18 0.602382 1.198774 2.487167 5.768507 15.019018 43.985648 166.677937
2025-05-25 0.553438 1.123681 2.387083 5.708376 15.465853 47.714297 195.366443
2025-06-01 0.519309 1.076516 2.343896 5.788239 16.359142 53.378797 237.949953
2025-06-08 0.480359 1.013678 2.254490 5.725328 16.793339 57.598085 277.348821
2025-06-15 0.447043 0.959767 2.179149 5.687575 17.305868 62.392997 325.004202
2025-06-22 0.412807 0.899790 2.080608 5.564200 17.496818 66.004521 369.713260
2025-06-29 0.392442 0.870544 2.056236 5.658230 18.498718 73.674210 450.909942
2025-07-06 0.363284 0.816711 1.960747 5.515450 18.585796 77.247764 507.565108